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August 2025: The illusion of balance…

The illusion of balance We’ve often said that when process and perception collide, perception wins the headline while process wins the war. But today, the gap between the two isn’t just wide—it’s dangerous. Markets are moving like a lightly loaded suspension bridge: cables taut, traffic flowing, everything holding—until a single ship rams a support beam and the whole thing…

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Q2 2025: “Next Play Thinking…”

It “feels” like we’re stuck in a loop … always talking about the importance of process. That word shows up in everything we do: in the signals markets are sending, in the rate of change (RoC) of the data, yet more importantly, it’s stark in contrast to the narrative-choked headlines that dominate the news cycle. With all the unfiltered…

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June 2025: “When Doves Cry”

“Maybe I’m just too demanding, maybe I’m just like my father, too bold … Maybe you’re just like my mother, she’s never satisfied. Why do we scream at each othr When Doves Cry Prince is widely regarded as one of the most influential and talented artists in music history, often considered part of the pantheon of musical royalty. His…

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May 2025: “Wind Of Change”!!!

“Wind of Change” “… for as many empty shelves as we may see in the coming months, there is an empty factory somewhere else feeling equal or more pain.” OSAM – April 30, 2025 We’ve written for years of the importance of “shutting out the noise”! Prior to shifting our writing style/format, this “observation” is how we opened our…

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Q1 2025: The Perfect Storm…

“Luffing” is a tactic that can be used. Luffing is the act of turning the bow of the sailboat upwind (windward) in an effort to reduce speed! (one could also ease the sheet controlling the sail past “optimal” trim allowing air to flow over the sail creating the luff). The more your vessel is positioned heading directly into the…

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March 2025: To tack, or NOT to tack…Is that the question??!

“Inflation remains elevated, with a short term set up to the disinflationary side over the next few months … and growth is sending mixed signals, with quite a bit of uncertainty out of Washington, especially pertaining to labor markets … what was most probabilistically a stagflationary investing environment has (at least for the short term) pushed into a disinflationary…

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February 2025: Luffing…

Luffing I grew up in a small little lake community within a much larger town in northern NJ by the name of Wayne Township. When one mentions the township of Wayne to an outsider, you’re often met with the response, “I know Wayne, it’s the one that always floods”! Yes, there is an EXTREMELY small portion of lower Wayne…

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